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The series opens with a pair of trade deadline acquisitions
squaring off. Since arriving in New York, Happ has been a revelation. He has
stabilized the rotation, posting a 2.70 ERA (4.44 FIP) across 46.2 innings. The
Yankees landed Happ, in part, because of his success against the Red Sox. Over
the last four seasons, the southpaw has held Boston to a 1.78 ERA. I am rooting
for that success to continue.
Since joining the Red Sox, Eovaldi has been as inconsistent
as ever. He started off well, but then totally imploded, earning a demotion to
the bullpen. He has a 4.17 ERA with a 3.49 FIP with Boston, reminiscent of the
maddening Eovaldi who pitched in pinstripes. On the other hand, he tossed eight
innings of shutout ball against the Yankees last month. Maybe don’t let him do
that again.
Game two: Luis
Severino vs. David Price
Did Severino figure things out last week? Ryan Chichester
thinks he might have. One start doesn’t wipe away 61 innings of 6.34 ERA (4.35
FIP) ball, though. Severino represents one of the most important players for
the Yankees moving into the playoffs. A strong start against the Red Sox would
go a long way towards building confidence for a postseason run.
Price, meanwhile, has stepped up as the staff ace for the
Red Sox in the absence of Chris Sale. The southpaw owns a 3.42 ERA with a 3.64
FIP. That becomes even more impressive considering his 1.56 ERA (2.25 FIP) in
the second half. Then again, Price has struggled against the Yankees this
season. He has a 12.19 ERA against the Bombers. Keeps that trend going, please.
Game three:
Masahiro Tanaka vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
Tanaka continued his stretch of impressive pitching with six
shutout innings against the Blue Jays last weekend. The right-hander has
pitched to a 2.09 ERA with a 2.67 FIP in the second half. That includes a nine
strikeout performance against Boston, where he allowed one run in 4.2 innings.
He’s the prohibitive favorite for the Wild Card start, and could add to his
case with a successful outing against Boston.
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